Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002779 0.002904 0.003031 0.003169 0.003317 0.003469 0.003639
2025-02-16 0.002542 0.002730 0.002929 0.003154 0.003404 0.003674 0.003988
2025-02-23 0.002383 0.002606 0.002848 0.003130 0.003453 0.003811 0.004241
2025-03-02 0.002295 0.002548 0.002827 0.003161 0.003552 0.003997 0.004548
2025-03-09 0.002198 0.002470 0.002776 0.003148 0.003592 0.004110 0.004766
2025-03-16 0.002110 0.002396 0.002723 0.003126 0.003617 0.004201 0.004957
2025-03-23 0.002020 0.002315 0.002656 0.003083 0.003610 0.004248 0.005091
2025-03-30 0.001943 0.002244 0.002597 0.003045 0.003606 0.004295 0.005224
2025-04-06 0.001893 0.002205 0.002573 0.003047 0.003649 0.004401 0.005434
2025-04-13 0.001800 0.002109 0.002477 0.002954 0.003568 0.004343 0.005423
2025-04-20 0.001762 0.002078 0.002459 0.002959 0.003609 0.004445 0.005628
2025-04-27 0.001743 0.002071 0.002470 0.002999 0.003698 0.004610 0.005925
2025-05-04 0.001689 0.002018 0.002422 0.002963 0.003685 0.004639 0.006037
2025-05-11 0.001648 0.001981 0.002393 0.002951 0.003704 0.004712 0.006213
2025-05-18 0.001606 0.001941 0.002358 0.002929 0.003708 0.004763 0.006360
2025-05-25 0.001587 0.001930 0.002362 0.002957 0.003780 0.004912 0.006654
2025-06-01 0.001553 0.001898 0.002336 0.002945 0.003795 0.004979 0.006830
2025-06-08 0.001518 0.001864 0.002306 0.002925 0.003799 0.005029 0.006980
2025-06-15 0.001476 0.001820 0.002262 0.002886 0.003772 0.005033 0.007058
2025-06-22 0.001439 0.001781 0.002223 0.002851 0.003751 0.005044 0.007148
2025-06-29 0.001417 0.001762 0.002210 0.002853 0.003782 0.005133 0.007364
2025-07-06 0.001364 0.001699 0.002137 0.002768 0.003685 0.005025 0.007256
2025-07-13 0.001345 0.001684 0.002128 0.002772 0.003718 0.005116 0.007476